Sun, 25 Feb 2007 13:00:46 +0000

being right is not better

I try to evade reading/hearing/watching weather forecasts whenever possible, however I cannot escape them all time. If I do not I am usually annoyed. If you think about it that is not surprising, probabilities are against me.

Usually I have preferences how I would like the weather to be to start with (Currently: A little bit below zero with snowfall from monday to thursday, snowfall stops on friday - to allow grooming - and sunshine with temperatures slightly below zero on the weekend.) and the weather forecast announces something else. Depending on the weather I get I end up with this frustration matrix

wishforecastweatherfrustration
aaano
aabyes
abayes(unprepared due to unfavorable forecast)
abbyes

The outcome is even worse than could be expected since the weather forecast itself is biased, announcing "possible snowfall of up to 30cm at 1000m elevation" even if there is just a 10% chance for more than 5cm.


Posted by Andreas Metzler | Permanent link | File under: rant